Stocking of salmon could be slashed in Michigan

The plan will split the fall chinook harvest, with 66 percent for recreational fishers and 34 percent for commercial ones.

Grand Rapids, Mich. — Michigan fish managers are facing a frightening scenario on Lake Michigan: too few prey fish to sustain the salmon population at current stocking levels.

The solutions, they say, involve cutting the number of hatchery plants. The Michigan DNR and other managers from around the lake are inviting anglers to have a say in the outcome.

A public workshop on the topic is scheduled for April 14 at Lake Michigan College in Benton Harbor. The choices being presented are the consensus of a multi-state working group.

The options, whittled down from a field of 25 choices, call for reducing chinook salmon stocking by 30 to 50 percent, and decisions about whether to reduce stocking for species like lake trout, steelhead, brown trout, and coho salmon. Lake Michigan officials say they were looking for choices that would not decimate the forage base or result in smaller or fewer fish.

Lake Michigan is stocked annually with 2.5 million chinook (king) salmon fingerlings. They feed exclusively on alewives – unlike steelhead, coho salmon, and brown trout, which feed on various prey. If the alewives disappear, so do the big kings. 

“We started the process a year ago. It does come with some anxiety,” said Denny Grinold, a Lake Michigan fishing charter captain from Grand Haven who represented the Michigan Charter Boat Association on the Lake Michigan fishery work group. Grinold also chairs the committee of advisors for the Great Lakes Fishery Commission.

“We just came off a really good year in Lake Michigan,” Grinold told Michigan Outdoor News. “But if you go back to 2003 on Lake Huron, they had the largest prey population in the history of that assessment and in 2004 Lake Huron collapsed.”

Lake Michigan forage is at an all-time low, according to state and federal fish managers who have conducted surveys on the lake. It is home to a robust alewife year-class from 2010 and five other age classes that contribute little to the forage base. No new forge showed up in 2011. State officials say they’re hoping to see a new year-class develop in 2012. 

An acoustic survey of Lake Michigan prey fish last year found approximately 25 kilotons, according to state officials. That’s 76 percent less than 2010 and 84 percent less than the 20-year, long-term average. Lake Michigan fish managers would prefer to see 100 kilotons or more.

“The biomass in Lake Michigan is at record lows right now despite the strong 2010 year-class that resulted in bigger fish last year,” according to Jay Wesley. Wesley is the Lake Michigan basin coordinator for the Michigan DNR. “We are being very cautious about how we proceed. The 2010 year-class is getting eaten up very quickly.”

“Throughout the 1970s to the ‘90s we always had nine year-classes of alewives. We had young fish and very old fish. Now, we’re down to six age classes, and 95 percent are from 2010. We are getting to the point that we are loosing the older, bigger spawning fish. Lake Huron was down to four age classes when it crashed.”

Lake Michigan is at a tipping point. Too little food in the lake means smaller and fewer fish caught, or worse. Quagga mussels are filtering out the tiny nutrients that young, larval prey fish need to thrive. The percentage of naturally reproduced chinook salmon has grown steadily and now tops 50 percent and can run much higher. Those naturally reproduced fish put additional pressure on the forage.

Canada also stocks chinook salmon in Lake Huron, and those stocks may have an impact on Lake Michigan, too. The chinook salmon can travel hundreds of miles. Some worry they’re migrating into Lake Michigan to feed.

“What we are hearing from stakeholders is that they do not want the alewife population to collapse,” Wesley said. “We took the most severe stocking cuts off the table and then found the 20-percent chinook cut scenario doesn’t do much because of the natural reproduction.

“We know from markings that natural reproduction can be 50 percent with age 1 fish, but when we look at 2-, 3-, and 4-year-olds, the percentage goes as high as 80 percent, though we aren’t as confident about the mark with the older fish.”

Bottom line, Wesley said: “Natural reproduction is good and we may be over-relying on hatchery fish.”

Computer simulations of current stocking practices show there is a 23-percent chance of ending up with a low alewife population for Lake Michigan; a 35-percent chance of reduced weight in mature chinook salmon; and a 20-percent chance of catch rates that are less than eight fish per 100 hours. Experts say those figures suggest a relatively high risk of fishery collapse.

That point doesn’t escape Dennis Eade, executive director of the Michigan Salmon and Steelhead Fishermen’s Association and another working group member from Michigan. He is one who said any stocking scenario with even a 20-percent risk of collapse was “too high.”

“We can’t deny the lake is going through a dramatic ecological change,” Eade said. “At the same time we see the composition of the food web is changing dramatically and that natural recruitment is well over 50 percent.

“I don’t believe there is a pending collapse in the next 12 months, but it could happen in the next five years if we don’t approach stocking scientifically.”

This is the message Michigan fish managers want anglers to consider. The working group, with the assistance of a sophisticated computer model, examined the outcomes of various stocking and forage scenarios. Most agreed that any that presented more than a 20-percent risk of collapse was unacceptable. Most preferred lower-risk scenarios – which translates to greater stocking cuts.

John Robertson, a work group member representing Michigan United Conservation Clubs, said he prefers to cut only chinook stocks and not other species. Robertson also supports cutting chinook stocking by as much as 50 percent, rather than 30 percent, which was offered in combination with reducing stocking for other species.

“I would rather not cut other species,” Robertson said. “That is a big principal in the interest of keeping diversity in the lake. If the primary problem is chinook, then cut chinook and maintain the others.

“In the ‘80s when bacterial kidney disease showed up on Lake Michigan, what saved us was that the steelhead was good, the coho came on, and there were lake trout. Those fish all filled the gap.”

Michigan anglers and those attending similar meetings in other states, will find four favored choices, according to Wesley. Chinook-only cuts would go into effect in 2013. Those involving other species would go into effect in 2014.

The choices at press time were:

  • Cut chinook stocking by 50 percent and wait five years to make any further changes while monitoring;
  • Cut chinook stocking by 50 percent and if the weight of age 3 fish goes below 15 pounds, then possibly cut again. If their weight increases, stocking increases could follow;
  • Cut chinook stocking by 30 percent and other species by 10 percent, except for lake trout, which would be left alone. Monitor the species and adjust stocking based on that data;
  • Cut chinook stocking by 30 percent and other species including lake trout by 10 percent, again monitoring and adjusting along the way.
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